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Futures research methodology / editors, Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon ; with support from the Rockefeller Foundation.

Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextLanguage: English Publisher: [Washington, DC] : The Millennium Project, c2009Edition: Version 3.0Description: 1 CD-ROM ; 4 3/4 plgISBN:
  • 9780981894119
Subject(s): LOC classification:
  • CB158 F88 2009
Contents:
Introduction to futures research methodology -- Environmental scanning -- Text mining for technology foresight -- The delphi method -- Real-time Delphi -- The futures -- The futures polygon -- Trend impact analysis -- Cross-impact analysis -- wild cards -- Structural analysis -- The systems perspectives -- Decision modeling -- Substitution analysis -- Statistical modeling -- Technology sequence analysis -- Morphological analysis -- Relevance trees -- Scenarios -- A toolbox for scenario planning -- Interactive scenarios -- Robust decisionmaking -- Participatory methods -- Simulation and games -- Genius forecasting, intuition, and vision -- Prediction markets -- Using vision in futures -- Normative forecasting -- S&T road mapping -- Field anomaly relaxation -- agent modeling -- Chaos and non-linear dynamics -- Multiple perspective concept -- Heuristics modeling -- Causal layered analysis -- Personal futures -- State of the future index -- SOFI software system -- Integration, comparisons, and frontiers of futures research methods.
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Holdings
Item type Current library Collection Call number Status Date due Barcode
CD ROM CD ROM Mediateca Material electrónico CB158 F88 2009 Ej. 1 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available RE0491

Contiene dos versiones en el disco: "1. PDF version, is recommended for reading and printing 2. MSWord version, is recommended for text editing and re-organizing material".

Introduction to futures research methodology -- Environmental scanning -- Text mining for technology foresight -- The delphi method -- Real-time Delphi -- The futures -- The futures polygon -- Trend impact analysis -- Cross-impact analysis -- wild cards -- Structural analysis -- The systems perspectives -- Decision modeling -- Substitution analysis -- Statistical modeling -- Technology sequence analysis -- Morphological analysis -- Relevance trees -- Scenarios -- A toolbox for scenario planning -- Interactive scenarios -- Robust decisionmaking -- Participatory methods -- Simulation and games -- Genius forecasting, intuition, and vision -- Prediction markets -- Using vision in futures -- Normative forecasting -- S&T road mapping -- Field anomaly relaxation -- agent modeling -- Chaos and non-linear dynamics -- Multiple perspective concept -- Heuristics modeling -- Causal layered analysis -- Personal futures -- State of the future index -- SOFI software system -- Integration, comparisons, and frontiers of futures research methods.

Requerimientos del sistema: computadora con lector de CD-ROM, Adobe Acrobat Reader y Microsoft Word.

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